Risk intelligence · Financial integrity · East Africa
Kinga Advisory brings intelligence-grade analytic tradecraft to anti-money laundering, counter-terrorist financing and security risk in Kenya and the region. We tell you what we judge, how likely it is, and how confident we are — and show our working.
Kinga (Swahili): protection, prevention.
Bottom line up front
[One-sentence answer to the client's question, stated first.]
Key judgement 1 · likelihood
Likely (55–80%) that [judgement]. Confidence: moderate — two independent sources, one gap noted.
Indicators to watch
[What would change our view]
Recommended action
[Owner · step · deadline]
Practices
Illicit finance is a security problem, and security threats leave financial trails. We combine compliance expertise with the analytic rigour of an intelligence assessment team.
AML/CFT advisory for authorities and reporting institutions.
Strategic assessments built to the standards of a national analytic cell.
We build the skills in-house teams need to do this themselves.
Method
Step 1
Agree the decision the client faces and the question that serves it — before any collection starts.
Step 2
Every source is rated for reliability and every item for credibility, so the evidence base is visible.
Step 3
Competing hypotheses, a key-assumptions check and an independent reviewer test every judgement.
Step 4
Bottom line first, calibrated likelihood, stated confidence, and the actions that follow.
Our estimative scale. Confidence in the evidence is stated separately as low, moderate or high.
Almost no chance
1–5%
Very unlikely
5–20%
Unlikely
20–45%
Roughly even
45–55%
Likely
55–80%
Very likely
80–95%
Almost certain
95–99%
Who we serve
We work for public bodies, regulated institutions and their partners. Client identities and engagements are never disclosed.
Strategic analysis, risk assessments and evaluation readiness.
Threat-finance analysis, assessments and tradecraft support.
Banks, payment providers, SACCOs and DNFBPs strengthening AML/CFT controls.
Programme design, delivery and independent evaluation of capacity-building.
Independence
Judgements follow the evidence, not the client's preferred answer.
Confidentiality
Need-to-know access, encrypted handling and vetted staff on every engagement.
Traceability
Every judgement links back to graded sources a reviewer can audit.
Local depth
A Kenyan delivery team that understands institutions from the inside.
Insights
Typology note · [Date]
[Two-line summary of the note.]
Policy brief · [Date]
[Two-line summary of the brief.]
Tradecraft · [Date]
[Two-line summary of the article.]
Secure contact
Tell us the decision you face. We will reply within two working days to arrange a discussion through a channel suited to its sensitivity.
Include your name, organisation and a short description of the requirement. Do not send classified material, case details or personal data by email.
Email contact@kingaadvisory.com